April 2026 · Safety Science
From Safety-I Myths to the Improbable Normal
A new Safety Science paper reflects on Hollnagel's legacy, examining how Safety-I myths persist in practice and what 'the improbable normal' means for everyday safety work.

Copyright © Erik Hollnagel 2022
All Rights Reserved.
Erik Hollnagel
Professor, Ph.D.
Professor Emeritus
LiU (S), ENSMP (F), SDU (DK)
The chief motive of all human actions is the desire to avoid anxiety.
Ibn Hazm (994-1064)
Blog
Articles on resilience engineering, Safety-II, systemic potentials, and related research — curated commentary with links to papers, books, and resources across this site and beyond.
April 2026 · Safety Science
From Safety-I Myths to the Improbable Normal
A new Safety Science paper reflects on Hollnagel's legacy, examining how Safety-I myths persist in practice and what 'the improbable normal' means for everyday safety work.
January 2026 · Books & Ideas
From Safety to Safely: Managing Systemic Potentials
Erik Hollnagel's latest book reframes safety not as a noun to defend but as an adverb — safely — linking productivity and protection through Systemic Potentials Management.
March 2025 · Safety Culture
From Decremental to Incremental Safety Culture
A practical note on replacing decremental safety culture — focused on reducing failures — with an incremental culture built on the four systemic potentials of resilient performance.
March 2021 · Research
Safer Systems: People Training or System Tuning?
When systems fail, the default response is more training. Hollnagel asks whether tuning the system itself — not just the people in it — is the more effective path to safer performance.
August 2020 · Healthcare
Measuring Resilience Potential in Emergency Departments
Researchers develop a Resilience Assessment Grid for emergency departments, operationalising Hollnagel's four potentials — respond, monitor, learn, anticipate — for clinical settings.
See also the Resilience Engineering Guide, Ideas, and recent publications.