
Copyright © Erik Hollnagel 2022
All Rights Reserved.
Erik Hollnagel
Professor, Ph.D.
Professor Emeritus
LiU (S), ENSMP (F), SDU (DK)
The chief motive of all human actions is the desire to avoid anxiety.
Ibn Hazm (994-1064)
← Back to Blog · September 2026 · Books & Ideas
Decremental and Incremental Safety Cultures: Safety-I and Safety-II Revisited
CRC Press publishes Erik Hollnagel's Decremental and Incremental Safety Cultures: Safety-I and Safety-II Revisited on 25 September 2026. The 264-page book returns to the argument of Safety-I and Safety-II (2014) and treats culture as a set of practices rather than a maturity score. Where a decremental culture tries to make work safer by subtracting failures, an incremental culture tries to raise the share of work that goes as intended.
Fourteen chapters move from a primer on Safety-I and Safety-II through the apparent ambiguity of safety, seven biases of safety thinking, the inevitability of accidents, and what Hollnagel calls the semantic non-sense of safety. Later chapters take up the seven stages of safety thinking, atomistic accident thinking, and the complexity delusion: the habit of treating complexity as a property to be tamed by more analysis, rather than as a condition of everyday work.
Two consecutive chapters on safety pragmatism and safety solutionism will be familiar to anyone who has watched organisations reach for a new method, a new indicator, or a new software tool whenever the last one disappointed. The book then asks a practical question: how to improve the ratio of acceptable to unacceptable outcomes. That question leads into decremental safety practices, incremental safety practices, and the Resilient Performance Enhancement Toolkit (RPET).
This is a different object from the March 2025 note on changing from a decremental to an incremental safety culture. That note was a short argument about the four potentials to respond, monitor, learn, and anticipate. The 2026 book is the longer revisit: history, language, biases, and a toolkit. It also sits beside From Safety to Safely, which asks organisations to manage safely as a capability rather than to defend "safety" as a noun.
Readers who already work with Systemic Potentials Management will recognise the same direction: stop counting only what went wrong, and start building the conditions under which everyday work succeeds. RPET is presented as a way to do that without turning resilience into another slogan or another audit checklist.
Further reading: CRC Press / Routledge: Decremental and Incremental Safety Cultures · Safety-I and Safety-II (2014) · Resilience Engineering Guide